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CLIMATE CHANGE AND CONFLICT

Climate change is already affecting the physical security of vulnerable communities around the world, particularly in fragile and conflict-affected countries. Most recent studies agree that existing conflict zones and areas of latent tension are likely to persist and widen in geographic scope and intensity. The key assumption is that environmental trends such as water scarcity and land degradation do not per se cause conflict. The emergence and intensity of conflict rather depends on the adaptive capacities of a given society to resist and manage conflict. In this respect, governance plays a key role.


The IfP-EW climate change cluster aims to explore: the linkages between climate change, conflict and fragility; the challenges of responding to climate change-related risks in ways which avoid violence; and the role of governance in managing and preventing conflict. The cluster will build an understanding of how these complex and interlinked issues could be addressed and integrated into the policy and response mechanisms of local, national, regional and international institutions.


Through in-country research, regional dialogue and meetings, cluster members will analyse the implications of current and future climate impacts on security in fragile contexts, in particular looking at the ability of governance structures and institutions to manage these changes. Focus areas for research cover four regions of the world which are highly vulnerable to climate change: In Europe, the Mediterranean and Tajikistan; in Latin America, Argentina, Mexico, in Asia, India, Nepal, and the Philippines; and in Africa, Uganda. Based on research findings, the cluster aims to build knowledge, provide practical guidance, and support advocacy efforts around who can do what and how to promote peaceful responses to climate change risks and consequences.

Cluster coordinator : Janani Vivekananda

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LATEST CLIMATE CHANGE AND CONFLICT PUBLICATIONS
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Practice Note: Conflict-Sensitive Responses to Climate Change in South Asia

Author(s): Janani Vivekananda
2011-10-01

This note explains the importance of using a conflict-sensitive approach to responding to climate change in South Asia. It offers guidelines and emerging principles on how climate change and development policy makers and practitioners can promote peace-positive adaptation actions which can yield the double dividend of building resilience to climate change and conflict. Issues of water, land, energy and food security are highly affected by climate change. At the same time, inappropriate governance of these issues lies at the root of conflicts across the region. The note proposes that engagement in these areas needs to be approached in a comprehensive way which maximises the productive capacity of local communities, while also minimising the risk of instability and conflict.

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Climate Change Impacts on Socio-environmental Conflicts
Vulnerability in Facing Climate Change and Social Conflicts in Mexico

Author(s): Fabricio Brodziak, Ana Lucía García and Luis Gómez Chow
2011-06-01

Due to its social, economic, institutional, and geographical situation, Mexico is highly sensitive to the effects of climate change and other extreme meteorological phenomena. Some experts see the changes in climate as a result of natural climate variability. Others argue Mexico’s environmental situation exemplifies the effects of global warming and climate change and that if these are not countered, Mexico may be susceptible to social conflict as vulnerability amongst different communities and groups increases. The authors propose two models to explain the relationship between climate change and conflict, and the mitigation and adaptation policies needed to face the challenges it poses.

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Climate Change Impacts on Socio-environmental Conflicts:
Diagnosis and Challenges of the Argentinean Situation

Author(s): Pablo Lumerman, Jimena Psathakis and María de los Ángeles Ortiz
2011-04-01

This report addresses how climate change impacts, enhances and creates new socio-environmental conflicts. It argues that a conflict-sensitive approach in the development and implementation of public policies on climate change issues and the promotion of early-warning systems in this field will allow us to deal more constructively with present conflicts and to prevent future ones. It is divided into two sections: the first section analyses the links between climate change impacts and socio-environmental conflicts, and the second includes suggestions on reducing the impacts of climate change, by using a comprehensive, cross-sector and interdisciplinary approach.

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